|Advanced Decision Analysis with Portfolio and Project Modeling - ADA|
|Economics of Worldwide Petroleum Production - EWP|
|Cost Management - CM|
|Petroleum Risk and Decision Analysis - PRD|
Discipline: Petroleum Business
Duration: 5 days
Instructor(s): Tim Nieman, John Schuyler
|Good technical and business decisions are based on competent analysis of project costs, benefits and risks. Participants learn the decision analysis process and foundation concepts so they can actively participate in multi-discipline evaluation teams. The focus is on designing and solving decision models. Probability distributions express professional judgments about risks and uncertainties and are carried through the calculations. Decision tree and influence diagrams provide clear communications and the basis for valuing each alternative. Monte Carlo simulation is discussed and experienced in detail in a hand-calculation exercise. Project modeling fundamentals and basic probability concepts provide the foundation for the calculations. Mathematics is straightforward and mostly involves only common algebra. Emphasis is on practical techniques for immediate application. This is a fast-paced course and recommended for those with strong English listening skills. This course is intended as the prerequisite for the Advanced Decision Analysis with Portfolio and Project Modeling course.|
Geologists, engineers, geophysicists, managers, team leaders, economists, and planners.
You Will Learn:
MR. TIM NIEMAN is President of Decision Applications, Inc., a San Francisco area based decision analysis consulting firm. His firm performs decision and risk analysis for various organizations facing complex decision problems. His recent oil and gas consulting work includes risk analysis of pipeline routing; risk analysis for deepwater flow assurance; portfolio analysis for budgeting E&P R&D portfolios; and development of methods for assessing new basin entry opportunities. Other recent work includes development of remediation and reuse strategies for impaired properties, including former refineries and pipelines; numerous projects for the Yucca Mountain proposed nuclear waste repository; work on mountain top coal mining, unconventional oil and gas drilling, basin-wide water management and climate change issues; and cancer causation modeling for national health organizations. Mr. Nieman was formerly Senior Decision Analyst for Geomatrix Consultants, an Oakland based geological and environmental consulting firm. Prior to that, he was Director of Operations for Lumina Decision Systems, a decision analysis consulting and software firm. And prior to that, he spent 14 years with Amoco as a geophysicist, economist, and risk and portfolio analyst. He has a BS in geology and an MS in geophysics from Michigan State University, and an MBA from Rice University.
MR. JOHN SCHUYLER, CAM, CCE, CMA, CMC, CPIM, PMP and PE, is a decision analyst, evaluation engineer, and investor. He founded his consulting practice, Decision Precision, in 1988. He has over 37 years of experience in analysis, consulting, training and management, primarily in the energy industry. His focus has been in feasibility analysis, appraisals, corporate planning, and evaluation software. He has presented over 290 courses in 34 countries since 1989. He was vice president and petroleum engineer with Security Pacific National Bank, planning and evaluation analyst at Cities Service Oil Co., manager of business systems for Cities Service's Petrochemicals Division, and senior management consultant with a national accounting firm. He is a member of eight professional organizations and is an author and speaker on modern analysis practices. He is the revision author of Decision Analysis for Petroleum Exploration, 2nd Ed., author of Risk and Decision Analysis in Projects, 2nd Ed., and has written over 40 articles, papers and handbook chapters. He received BS and MS degrees in mineral-engineering physics from the Colorado School of Mines and an MBA from the University of Colorado. His website is www.maxvalue.com.
In-House Course Presentations
All courses are available for in-house presentation to individual organizations. In-house courses may be structured the same as the public versions or tailored to meet your requirements. Special courses on virtually any petroleum-related subject can be arranged specifically for in-house presentation. For further information, contact our In-House Training Coordinator at one of the numbers listed below.
Telephone 1- 832 426 1234
Facsimile 1- 832 426 1244
Public Course Presentations
How to contact PetroSkills:
1-800-821-5933 toll-free in North America or
Address P.O. Box 35448, Tulsa, Oklahoma 74153-0448, U.S.A